The housing shortage in the Netherlands is set to rise to 4.8% of the total housing stock in 2026, according to ABF Research’s annual Primos forecast. The situation in the Amsterdam region is considerably more severe: the shortage now stands at 47,100 homes, equivalent to 6.4% of the total stock. With rental supply shrinking, shortages in the rental sector are increasing and pressure on Amsterdam’s rental market is intensifying rapidly. For middle-income households, finding suitable rental housing in the city is becoming increasingly difficult, while waiting times and competition continue to rise.
5,000 homes disappearing from Amsterdam’s rental market
In Amsterdam, the rental stock has decreased by 5,000 homes as a result of investors selling rental homes as individual units. Between 2023 and 2025, the share of the housing stock owned by private investors fell from 7.4% to 6.2%. Even in the Netherlands’ tightest housing market, the available rental supply is therefore continuing to contract. This shrinkage increases pressure on the urban rental sector and pushes rents further upwards.
Individual unit sales set to continue in the coming years
The sale of rental homes as individual units is expected to continue in 2026. More than half of the investors and housing associations surveyed by Capital Value indicate that they intend to sell more homes in the coming years than in previous years. Investors are increasingly opting for individual unit sales due to higher tax burdens and lower yields from holding rental properties. As a result, the rental stock remains under structural pressure. Housing associations are also selling assets to create investment capacity for new-build development and sustainability upgrades.
Private-sector rents up a further 10.8% in Q4 2025
With supply in the mid-rental segment contracting sharply, a significant share of demand is shifting to the private sector, increasing upward price pressure. In Q4 2025, the average rent for an apartment in the private sector increased by 10.8% compared with Q4 2024. At the same time, the number of new lettings in 2025 was 17% lower than in 2024, indicating that availability is also under pressure in the private sector. Private-sector rents are expected to rise further, driven by intensifying competition among home seekers and the persistent housing shortage.