Transaction volume Dutch residential investment market increases with 26% compared to 2024

News 24 Oct 2025

The transaction volume in the Dutch residential investment market reached €5.4 billion by the end of the third quarter of 2025, representing a 26% increase compared to the same period last year. The strongest growth was recorded in existing rental housing: €3.0 billion was invested in this segment, up from €1.8 billion in the same period of 2024. A notable development is the growing share of student housing, now accounting for 18% of total investments. While the increased investor interest in existing rental housing is a positive sign, it also raises concerns for the wider rental market. A significant portion of the 13,000 existing rental homes sold is likely to be converted to owner-occupied units, thereby reducing the rental housing stock. Institutional investors and housing associations invested €2.3 billion in new-build housing up to the third quarter, a modest increase of 5%. This represents around 8,300 new rental homes — insufficient to offset the expected loss from sales to the owner-occupied sector. To make new-build development more attractive to both domestic and international investors, more targeted policy measures are urgently needed.

Investments in new-build up only 5%
Up to the third quarter of 2025, €2.3 billion was invested in new-build rental housing, compared to €2.2 billion in the same period last year — an increase of 5%. However, due to rising construction costs, this growth translates into fewer homes being delivered than in 2024. Dutch institutional investors (55%) and housing associations (34%) accounted for the majority of these investments, while only 4% came from foreign investors. Despite several government initiatives to stimulate investment in new-build rental housing — including the upcoming reduction of transfer tax, the minister’s visit to the EXPO Real in Munich, and ongoing consultations between the Ministry of the Interior and market stakeholders — these efforts have so far proven insufficient to expand the rental housing stock. Moreover, national political party programmes show little focus on improving the investment climate, even though substantial capital will be needed to bridge the gap between ambition and realisation.

Outlook for Q4: total transaction volume expected to reach €8.5 billion in 2025
Based on an analysis of residential development projects and portfolios currently on the market, Capital Value expects the total transaction volume in 2025 to rise to approximately €8.5 billion. The investment volume in new-build housing is forecast to increase by €1.5 billion (equivalent to around 4,200 homes), while investments in existing rental housing are expected to grow by a further €1.6 billion. Even if the anticipated transactions are completed, the difference between new additions and sales of existing rental homes will likely lead to a net decline in the rental housing stock — as more homes are converted to owner-occupied use than are being newly built.

 

Strong growth in student housing investments
A key trend in 2025 is the sharp increase in investor interest in student housing. In the first three quarters of the year, the transaction volume in this segment reached €595 million — a striking contrast with €33 million in the same period of 2024. The majority of these transactions (92%) concerned existing student housing assets. The supply of recently completed complexes entering the market has risen significantly in 2025, attracting considerable investor attention.

Thijs Konijnendijk, director Research & Data Intelligence bij Capital Value: “Investment activity in new-build housing is under close scrutiny in The Hague, yet current efforts have not led to higher investment levels from domestic or foreigninternational investors. To maintain or expand the rental housing stock, stronger incentive measures are essential. Fiscal measures such as a further reduction in transfer tax and a revision of tax regulations for housing associations and (international) investors are both urgent and necessary. These topics should be key priorities in the upcoming coalition negotiations to prevent further contraction of the rental housing supply.”